Showing posts with label International Relations. Show all posts
Showing posts with label International Relations. Show all posts

Sunday, May 2, 2010

Country Brief: Pakistan

Descent into Chaos: The U.S. and the Disaster in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Central Asia



Enjoy, little brief of Pakistan.


Pakistan: Between Mosque And Military


Pakistan

Important Dates:

August 14, 1947 - Indian Independence Act was passed by The British Parliament. As a result, Pakistan and India were born.

October 1947 - First Pakistan - India War. (Reason for War: Pakistan invaded Kashmir). The territorial dispute over Kashmir, has not been resolved yet. (conflict started 62 years ago, and still they're unable to solve it.) It's time to move on.!
learn more about the conflit @:
Kashmir


1971 - East Pakistan broke from Pakistan, to became Bangladesh (independent state).


Government

Pakistan is on the edge of becoming a failed state. However, according to Richard Holbrooke (U.S. special representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan)
Pakistan Not A Failed State


He argues that the weak gov't of Pakistan, needs US help ($$$) to fight Talibans. Therefore with US dollars Pakistan would not become a failed state.
But wait, as far as I remember, US gave Pakistan $10 billion !!! since 2001. Where did it go? Well, when you give $$$ to the corrupt gov't, it can't be good. One, can't blame Pakistan's officials for taking this aid. US (under Bush), could at least track such large amount of cash, and see if it was used properly. Not this time !.

$6 billion in aid to Pakistan poorly tracked



Geography

Population: ~ 172 mln.

Divided into four provinces: Punjab, Sindh, Balochistan, and North West Frontier Province.
- they fight constantly over ownership and distribution of revenues from oil and gas resources.

Punjab province is the largest, (55% of the population lives there)

largest ethnic group: Punjabi (44.7)

Muslim Population: Sunni (85%), Shia (12%)



Military

Army size: over 500000 soldiers

Military of Pakistan supports extremist organizations.

Nuclear arsenal: 80 - 100 weapons.

Pakistan conflict map

According to BBC, 38% of the North Western Pakistan remains under full government control, the rest 62% is controlled by guess who the TALIBANS!.

The UN estimates that about 1.4 million people have been displaced since fighting in Pakistan's Northwest Frontier Province (NWFP) started at the end of April.

Politcs / Economy

Current President: Ali Zardari

GDP per capita: ~ $2000

GDP $454.2 billion

Sources:

CFR
BBC
NPR
CNN

Brookings Institute: Climate Crisis, Credit Crisis: The Quest for Green Growth

The 11th Hour

As the global economy struggles to sustain its recovery from the deepest recession in sixty years, another challenge looms large: preventing the Earth from warming more than 3.6 °F, widely considered by climate experts as the acceptable level to reduce the risk of irreversible global damage resulting from climate change. To meet these challenges, we must look beyond our national borders, recognize that we face an uncertain future, and collaborate to ensure our collective well-being. Our success or failure will depend both on our timeliness and resolve—and will shape the fate of our planet for years to come.


Although tentative signs of recovery from the global financial and economic crisis are gaining strength, policymakers around the world are still grappling with the effects of the crisis on the real economy. In the United States, unemployment is still historically high and credit is still constrained. The International Labor Organization predicts that employment levels in those countries with a high gross domestic product (GDP) per capita will not return to pre-crisis levels before 2013. And social protection programs are suffering as nations must find ways to cover budget shortfalls.



Download The Report



Source: Brooking Institute

Wednesday, April 28, 2010

World’s Worst Polluted Places

Pollution of Lakes and Rivers: A Paleoenvironmental Perspective


The 2009 report presents 12 examples of areas where solutions or cleanups have either been completed or are currently underway. They include 10 programs, alphabetically listed by location, which have been successful in reducing the toll of pollution on human health.

In addition, two initiatives with worldwide impact—the leaded gas phase out and the obsolete chemical weapons treaty—are highlighted here as models of how the international community can work together to make meaningful progress on pollution and health.

* Some projects were chosen because they represent a technology or engineering innovation that has been successful in reducing pollution and improving health indicators.
* Other sites were chosen because they represent a problem that is found in many locations and showcases a successful strategy for implementing the cleanup on a widespread scale.
* There are a few examples, where a policy or a social movement has been the turning point for dealing with a specific toxin, such as the leaded gasoline phase-out.
* The approaches cover remediation, education, legislation and innovation (technological and social).

In each case, it is important to recognize that this is not a ranking based on comparable criteria. Rather, sites were chosen to give us an idea of the way forward, to tackle one of the largest public health threats of our time. The examples are seemingly disparate because the issues are equally as different as they are deadly.


DOWNLOAD THE REPORT


Source:Blacksmith Institute

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

CFR Special Report - Strengthening the Nuclear Nonproliferation Regime

Overview

Nuclear technology has long been recognized as capable of both tremendous benefits and tremendous destruction. With this in mind, countries have devised international arrangements intended to promote peaceful nuclear applications while preventing the spread of materials, equipment, and technologies useful for producing nuclear weapons. Today, however, it is clear that this global nonproliferation regime is falling short. North Korea withdrew from the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) in 2003 and has since tested two nuclear devices. Iran, while still a party to the NPT, has developed the capacity to enrich significant amounts of uranium; many believe it is seeking to build nuclear weapons or at least attain the ability to do so. In addition, there is the challenge of facilitating the expansion of nuclear energy, something that could help reduce carbon emissions, while preventing countries from using related technologies for military purposes. Finally, the prevalence of nuclear materials only intensifies the fear that terrorist groups could acquire them through theft or a deliberate transfer from a state.

DOWNLOAD The Report

Sunday, April 11, 2010

Human Right Watch: 2010 World Report

This 20th annual World Report summarizes human rights conditions in more than 90 countries and territories worldwide. It reflects extensive investigative work undertaken in 2009 by Human Rights Watch staff, usually in close partnership with human rights activists in the country in question.

Every government is at times tempted to violate human rights, but the global human rights movement has made sure that abuse carries a price. Still, some governments cannot resist trying to minimize that price by attacking human rights defenders, organizations, and institutions. The aim is to silence the messenger, to deflect pressure, to lessen the cost of committing human rights violations.

These efforts have yet to succeed, but the campaign is dangerous. Human Rights Watch calls on governmental supporters of human rights to help defend the defenders by identifying and countering these reactionary efforts. A strong defense of human rights depends on the vitality of the human rights movement now under assault.


Download Full Report [PDF, 4 MB]


Source:HRW.

Thursday, April 8, 2010

MASSIVE RIOT CIVIL UNREST: Kryzgystan

Kyrgyzstan's opposition has taken over government headquarters, the site of deadly rioting on Wednesday, and appears to be in control of the capital Thursday. The government of President Kurmanbek Bakiyev appears to have fled.The Health Ministry says the death toll from the anti-government rioting is now 68, with 400 people hospitalized. Opposition leader Rosa Otunbayeva has declared herself head of an interim government of this Central Asian nation housing a key U.S. air base. The opposition has called for the closure of the U.S. air base outside the capital, which is a transit point for supplies to the war in Afghanistan. U.S. military officials said Kyrgyzstan officials halted flights for 12 hours at the Manas air base on Wednesday.


Watch the video:




From AP:
Protests escalated in Kyrgyzstan on Wednesday, where demonstrators stormed the main government building and state television station in the capital of Bishkek, and there were scenes of violence in other cities in this central Asian nation.



Read:
Kyrgyzstan's "Analog Revolution"

BBC:Kyrgyzstan unrest



Sources: AP,BBC,Foreign Policy.

Monday, April 5, 2010

Fighting Hunger in Africa: Gebisa Ejeta

Dr. Ejeta’s personal journey would lead him from a childhood in a one-room thatched hut in rural Ethiopia to the height of scientific acclaim as a distinguished professor, plant breeder, and geneticist at Purdue University. His work with sorghum, which is a staple in the diet of 500 million people living in sub-Saharan Africa, began in Ethiopia in the 1970s. Working in Sudan in the early 1980s, he developed Hageen Dura-1, the first ever commercial hybrid sorghum in Africa. This hybrid variety was tolerant to drought and out-yielded traditional varieties by up to 150 percent.

Dr. Ejeta next turned his attention to battling the scourge of Striga, a deadly parasitic weed which devastates farmers’ crops and severely limits food availability. Working with a colleague at Purdue University, he discovered the biochemical basis of Striga’s relationship with sorghum, and was able to produce many sorghum varieties resistant to both drought and Striga. In 1994, eight tons of Dr. Ejeta’s drought and Striga-resistant sorghum seeds were distributed to Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Niger, Rwanda, Senegal, Somalia, Sudan, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. Yield increases were as much as four times the yield of local varieties, even in severe drought areas.





2009 World Food Prize Laureate Gebisa Ejeta

Sunday, April 4, 2010

U.N: Nearly 1 billion hungry people in world

Creating a World Without Poverty: Social Business and the Future of Capitalism


The number of hungry people in the world could soon hit a record 1 billion, despite a recent drop in food prices, the U.N. food aid organization said Wednesday.

The recent financial crisis, though it has helped bring global food prices down, has also led to falling trade and lower development aid, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization's general director, Jacques Diouf.

As a result of the crisis, an additional 104 million people were likely to go hungry this year — meaning they receive fewer than 1,800 calories a day, Diouf told reporters after a two-day meeting in Paris between the FAO and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

"We have never seen so many hungry people in the world," Diouf said.

The number of people considered hungry increased last year as well, by 40 million, and in 2007, when 75 million more people joined the ranks, Diouf said.

If the projection for 2009 proves accurate, that would mean that approximately 1 billion people — or roughly one-sixth of the world's population — will hungry by the end of the year, he said.

High food prices
Despite a 30 percent drop in food prices from June 2008, overall food prices still remain above 2006 levels, Diouf said.

He noted that in the developing world, food prices have dropped only 12 percent to 14 percent since June 2008.

Surveys show that prices of basic staple foods in many poor countries have barely registered any drop.

Diouf and other experts at Wednesday's conference called for more development aid to be spent on agriculture, saying it was crucial to preventing acute food shortages.

Source: U.N: Nearly 1 billion hungry people in world




Also watch "Inside Story - World hunger" by AlJazeeraEnglish.

Part 1



Part 2



AP, MSNBC.

Friday, April 2, 2010

Iran and the West Documentary


For the first time, the BBC tells the story of Iran's relationship with the West over the last 30 years - as seen by the key players and political insiders from both sides.

Marking the 30th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution in Iran, each programme focuses on a different decade in Iran's history.

Archive footage and interviews recreate the diplomatic tensions, false dawns and intricacies of political negotiations that have marked the relationship so far.
The inside story of the beginning of the Islamic Revolution in Iran.




In 1979, Iran was ruled by a monarchy in the guise of the Shah, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi. But he was only just clinging to power following a succession of strikes and protests.

And waiting in exile was Ayatollah Khomeini, the spiritual leader with a long history of opposition to the Shah. When he returned to the country to be greeted by several million Iranians, the royal regime collapsed as guerrillas and rebel troops began to overwhelm the forces loyal to the Shah.

Not long afterwards, the US embassy in Iran was stormed by a group of students - triggering a hostage crisis that would dominate the last year in office of US President Jimmy Carter, ultimately ending in his downfall.

Iran and the West: From Khomeni to Ahmedinejad tells the inside story of all these dramatic events, from the people who were there at the time.
source:BBC

Episode 1: The Man who Changed the World
Key figures tell the inside story of Ayatollah Khomeini’s rise to power, the fall and exile of Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi and the events surrounding the Iran hostage crisis.




Episode 2: The Pariah State
Inside stories are told by two ex-presidents of Iran and leading westerners. Subjects covered in this edition include the Lebanon hostage crisis, the Iran-Iraq War, the death of Ayatollah Khomeini and the changing political climate of the Middle East following the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait and the 1991 Gulf War.



Episode 3:
The inside story of the West’s continuing nuclear confrontation with Iran. Subjects covered in this episode include the rise of the Taliban in Iran’s neighbor Afghanistan, the assassination of Ahmad Shah Massoud, the September 11 terrorist attacks, the Iraq War and Iran’s emerging nuclear program.

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Unreported World - The Devil's Highway

Unreported World comes from one of the most hostile places on earth - the Sonora desert in Northern Mexico. Hot, waterless and full of rattlesnakes, it's crossed every day by thousands of migrants desperate to reach the USA - many of whom die a lonely death trying to fulfill their dream of a better life.

Reporter Aidan Hartley and producer Julie Noon begin their journey at the San Miguel Gate crossing. There, they meet Marta, a young woman who will pay people smugglers known as coyotes $3000 to get her across the border. She tells Hartley that she owes the coyotes the money which she will pay off once she gets a job, putting her into a form of bonded labour.

Travelling deeper into the desert, the team comes across a monument to the more than 2950 people, including children, who have died in this part of the desert. They are just some of the estimated million people who try to cross the border every year.






Part 1


Part 2


Part 3





Source: Channel 4

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Jeremy Scahill - Blackwater:The Rise of the World's Most Powerful Mercenary Army

Author Jeremy Scahill speaks in Chicago at "Socialism 2007: Socialism for the 21st Century" In his landmark book "Blackwater: The Rise of the World's Most Powerful Mercenary Army" Scahill details the Bush administration's accelerated program to privatize the US military through the use of a 'shadow army' of mercenaries in Iraq and else where, most notably New Orleans after the devastation of hurricane Katrina. Filmed by Paul Hubbard June 16, 2007 www.haymarketbooks.org

You can purchase his book, "Blackwater" for only 5$ by clicking here buy the book


Enjoy, this eye opening speech:




Mr. Scahill was has appeared on Friday on "The Real Time". (check youtube).

Saturday, August 15, 2009

FP:How America Is Funding Corruption in Pakistan

BY AZEEM IBRAHIM

"When [Musharraf] looks me in the eye and says, ... 'there won't be a Taliban and won't be al Qaeda,' I believe him, you know?" So said George W. Bush of then Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf in September 2006. The U.S. president's trust had been forged in a deal made five years earlier: Pakistan would train, equip, and deploy its Army and intelligence service in counterterrorism operations, and Washington promised to reimburse its partner with billions of dollars in weapons, supplies, and cold hard cash. The plan was simple enough, and since 2001, the United States has lived up to its pledge, pouring as much as $12 billion in overt aid and another $10 billion in covert aid to Pakistan.

But today, as the Obama administration re-examines the deal, there is devastating evidence that the billions spent in Pakistan have yielded little in return. For the last eight years, U.S. taxpayers' money has funded hardly any bona fide counterterrorism successes, but quite a bit of corruption in the Pakistani Army and intelligence services. The money has enriched individuals at the expense of the proper functioning of the country's institutions. It has provided habitual kleptocrats with further incentives to skim off the top. Despite the U.S. goal of encouraging democratization, assistance to Pakistan has actually weakened the country's civilian government. And perhaps worst of all, it has hindered Pakistan's ability to fight terrorists.


Read the rest of the article @FP America is Funding Corruption in Pakistan

Also, don't forget to read: Country Briefs: Pakistan

Monday, August 3, 2009

Health Care Globally




It's time US should follow other nations and save trillion of dollars on health care spending. National Coalition on Health Care reported that , "Total spending was $2.4 TRILLION in 2007, or $7900 per person1. Total health care spending represented 17 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP)." On the other hand, the UK spends only 8.3 of the GPA on their Health Care, that's half of US pays!!!.

PBS has released great documentary "Sick around the World" (link below), where you could watch how does health care system looks like around the world (in other democratic nations).

Read first:

Five Capitalist Democracies & How They Do it

Understand the graphs:

Graphs: U.S. Health Stats Compared to Other Countries


The Documentary, "Sick Around the World"


Great Britain: A Leader in Preventive Medicine




Japan: Universal Coverage, No Gatekeepers


Germany: A Popular, Largely Market-Based System


Taiwan: A New System They Copied From Others


Switzerland: Its Former System Resembled Ours


Universal Health Care is possible ...
Source: PBS

FP: Guide to Graduate Education



I'm back, starting today I'll post fresh updates on daily basis.


Foreign Policy, has published cool guide to Graduate Education (masters in IS,IR, etc), it's 33 pages long and it's absolutely FREE.

Enjoy:

FP: Guide to Graduate Education

Saturday, June 20, 2009

Truck bomb kills more than 60 in northern Iraq

by By KIM GAMEL, AP


BAGHDAD (AP) — A truck bomb exploded as worshippers left a Shiite mosque in northern Iraq on Saturday, killing at least 63 people and wounding nearly 200 in the deadliest bombing in nearly two months.

The blast near Kirkuk — a city rife with ethnic tensions — came hours after the prime minister insisted U.S. troops will leave Iraqi cities by the end of this month "no matter what happens," but acknowledged more violence was likely.

The Americans already have begun withdrawing combat troops from inner-city outposts in Baghdad, Mosul and other urban areas ahead of the June 30 deadline. But continued assassinations and high-profile explosions have heightened concerns that Iraqi forces are not ready to take over their own security.

Worshippers were leaving the mosque in Taza, 10 miles (20 kilometers) south of Kirkuk, following noon prayers when the truck exploded, demolishing the mosque and several mud-brick houses across the street, according to police and witnesses.

Rescue teams searched for hours to find people buried under the rubble while women begged police to let them near the site so they could search for loved ones. The U.S. military said it was providing generator lights and water at the site.

Ambulances rushed victims to the overwhelmed hospital in Kirkuk and some victims had to be taken to hospitals in nearby cities. Three babies cried as they were placed on a single hospital bed to be treated.

Brig. Gen. Sarhat Qadir of the Kirkuk police force said late Saturday that the discovery of bodies beneath the debris had pushed the death toll to 63, while 170 were wounded. They were still looking through the rubble.

Witnesses said the truck was parked across the street from the mosque and they assumed the driver was praying, although Kirkuk's police chief, Maj. Gen. Jamal Tahir, said investigators were looking into the possibility it was a suicide bombing.

"The truck was parked near our house; therefore most of the victims were found beneath the debris of the houses, mostly women and children," said Ehsan Mushir Shukur, whose sister was seriously wounded and taken to the Kurdish city of Sulaimaniyah.

He said his wife also was wounded while his sister's young son and daughter were killed.

Yellman Zain-Abideen, who was wounded by shrapnel in his hand and face, cried for his missing son who had been leaving the mosque with him when the blast occurred.

The 43-year-old father of four blamed local authorities for not providing sufficient security in the mainly Turkomen area, which is surrounded by Sunni villages.

"There should have been guards around the mosque, we are living in an area surrounded by enemies," he said.

AP Television News footage later showed men using pickaxes and shovels to dig dozens of graves in the cemetery behind the mosque to bury the victims.

Nobody claimed responsibility for the attack, but it bore the hallmark of al-Qaida in Iraq or other Sunni insurgents who remain active in northern Iraq despite security gains.

Tensions have risen in the oil-rich area as Kurds seek to incorporate Kirkuk into their semiautonomous region despite opposition from Arabs, Turkomen and other rival ethnic groups.

Officials also have warned that insurgents are likely to stage more attacks in the wake of the withdrawal deadline to try to undermine confidence in the government's ability to protect its people.

Saturday's explosion was the deadliest since April 24 when back-to-back suicide women bombers killed 71 people outside a Shiite shrine in Baghdad.

Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki urged Iraqis to maintain support for government forces, calling the first phase of the U.S. withdrawal plans a "great victory."

"Don't worry if some security breach occurs here or there," he said in an address earlier Saturday to members of the ethnic Turkomen community in Baghdad. "They are trying to destabilize the situation, but we will confront them."

The U.S.-Iraqi security pact requires the Americans to pull back combat troops from cities by the end of this month as a first step toward a full withdrawal by 2012. The deal includes a provision for the Iraqi government to ask for U.S. help if violence surges.

U.S. troops, meanwhile, continued preparing for the withdrawal.

On Saturday, American commanders turned over control of a key base on the edge of Baghdad's main Shiite district of Sadr City. The sprawling slum was a militia stronghold that saw fierce clashes until a cease-fire following a U.S.-backed government crackdown.

The Iraqis also reopened Zaytoun Street, which had been part of the walled-off Green Zone that houses the U.S. Embassy and the Iraqi government headquarters. The Iraqis have begun removing some of the protective blast walls around the Green Zone — part of a campaign to restore a sense of normalcy as violence has waned.

Source: Truck bomb kills more than 60 in northern Iraq

Monday, June 15, 2009

Crackdown after victory points to fix in the voting for Ahmadinejad

“I voted for Ahmadinejad in 2005, but I’ve switched to Mousavi this time because I think he’ll improve the economy. Under President Ahmadinejad inflation has shot up,” Aboldazl Zamani, 45, a bazaari (shopkeeper), said as he voted last Friday at a mosque in Shoosh, a poor area of south Tehran that is an Ahmadinejad stronghold. “My family and relatives have also switched to Mousavi,” he added.

A few votes switched to Mir Hossein Mousavi, the moderate presidential contender, are neither here nor there, of course, but the point is this: in eight hours spent touring polling stations in and around Tehran The Times found a number of Iranians who had deserted Mr Ahmadinejad since 2005, but not one who had switched to him.

Had the election committee announced that Mr Ahmadinejad had won with, say, 51 per cent of the vote, few independent observers could have said with certainty that the election was rigged — Mr Ahmadinejad undoubtedly has millions of devoted followers. But the idea that he won with 63 per cent ran contrary to every manifestation of the public mood before polling day, defied electoral logic, and was simply incredible.

There were those huge Mousavi rallies, and all-night street parties pulsating with the passion and excitement of people who knew the tide was flowing strongly their way. By contrast, Mr Ahmadinejad’s rallies felt more scripted, less spontaneous, with supporters bussed in.

There was the massive turnout of 85 per cent on election day. Low votes favour hardliners such as Mr Ahmadinejad, while high turnouts favour reformers. There is the dire state of Iran’s economy, with rampant unemployment and 25 per cent inflation — unlikely conditions for an incumbent to win by a landslide.

The dirty tricks in the campaign, such as the sudden power cuts that sabotaged opposition rallies, lent credence to allegations of dirty tricks on polling day — shortages of ballot papers in Mousavi strongholds, the declaration of some results before ballot boxes had even been opened.

Of the last dozen (admittedly unreliable) opinion polls, seven put Mr Mousavi ahead. On election eve Mousavi aides confidently told The Times that their man would win between 55 and 60 per cent. The declared results improbably suggest Mr Ahmadinejad won more than half the vote in Tehran, a Mousavi stronghold, and 57 per cent in Tabriz, capital of Mr Mousavi’s native Azerbaijan region.

Mr Ahmadinejad had men in key positions to rig the vote and enforce the result. Sadeq Mahsouli, the Interior Minister, and Kamran Daneshjoo, the election commission chief, are his cronies and appointees.

Perhaps the most damning evidence that the vote was rigged was the sheer speed, scale and efficiency of the subsequent crackdown. The results had scarcely been declared before security forces flooded on to the streets, websites were blocked and mobile telephone and text-messaging services taken down to prevent the opposition mobilising. It had to have been planned in advance.

Source: Times Online.
Crackdown after victory points to fix in the voting for Ahmadinejad

Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Darfur Makes Sudan's Omar al-Bashir Barack Obama's Biggest African Foe

By William J. Dobson

Presidents don't get to choose their first foreign policy crisis. It usually chooses them. For President Clinton, it was the killing of 18 U.S. soldiers in Mogadishu. For President Bush, it came when a U.S. EP-3 military plane collided with a Chinese fighter pilot, forcing the American crew to land on the Chinese island of Hainan. Many think that President Obama's first crisis came last month in the unlikely form of Somali pirates. (Actually, pirates have been patrolling those waters longer than there have been American presidents and they will likely be there hundreds of years from now.)

While Obama may have handled the high seas showdown, his most dangerous foe in Africa isn't a rag-tag group of teenagers with AK-47s and speedboats. No, that adversary is Sudan's Omar al-Bashir, the world's first sitting president with a warrant for his arrest.

Darfur, the war-torn western region of Sudan, is being pushed perilously close to the edge by the Sudanese government. The biggest test for Obama's foreign policy in Africa will not be pirates; it will be Bashir.

The emerging crisis is of Khartoum's making. In March, the International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for Bashir on charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity. Bashir immediately lashed out, expelling 13 foreign aid groups—groups such as Oxfam, Save the Children, and Doctors without Borders—from the country. These relief organizations were providing clean water, food, and medical attention to roughly 1.5 million people. Now, two months since Bashir's cruel directive, Darfur is again near the brink: water reserves have been depleted, food is in short supply, and medical care is desperately needed. The United Nations has scrambled to make up the shortfall before the rainy season begins. The hardest hit are Darfur's women and children, who make up more than 60 percent of the 2.7 million people driven from their homes.

Click here to read the full article

Sunday, May 31, 2009

The Best Guide for Gitmo? Look to Singapore.

By William J. Dobson, The Washington Post.


What to do with the Guantanamo detainees? Uncertainty resurfaced last week, as the Obama administration backed away from earlier statements on U.S. anti-terrorism policies. The president reversed a decision to release photographs of alleged detainee abuse. Then he decided to keep the military commissions for trying terrorist suspects. The White House is now reportedly considering plans to detain some suspects on U.S. soil indefinitely, without trial.

As the administration struggles over the fate of the 241 remaining detainees in its charge, it may want to look to an old Asian ally for a hand.

Meet Ustaz Ibrahim Kassim, one of Singapore's most respected Islamic scholars. His business card describes him as "Assistant Registrar of Muslim Marriages." But Kassim is engaged in a more important enterprise. He is part of his country's innovative program to fend off the threat of Islamic extremism. "We are not scared of [the terrorists]," says Kassim, an older gentleman with a face framed by a neatly trimmed white beard. "We know that history repeats itself, but these problems do not need to be passed on."
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Kassim, along with nearly 40 other Islamic scholars, is part of a select group of religious leaders called the Religious Rehabilitation Group (RRG), which is trying to rehabilitate -- or, as its members say, "deprogram" -- Singapore's terrorist detainees. In 2001, Singapore's authorities had no idea that they had a terrorist problem. But after the Sept. 11 attacks, the government was tipped off that a cell of Jemaah Islamiyah, the Southeast Asian militant group with links to al-Qaeda, was planning attacks across the city-state. In raids in late 2001 and 2002, more than 30 members of the terrorist outfit were arrested; more arrests followed. So, while the United States was filling its detention center at Guantanamo with foreign fighters, Singapore began to house its own population of Muslim extremists in its jails.

Singapore's strict law-and-order government, which famously enforced a ban on chewing gum, may seem an unlikely candidate for believing terrorists could be reformed. But Singapore -- often referred to as "the little red dot" in Southeast Asia's Islamic sea -- is in a precarious position, and its government felt compelled to take action that would not only disrupt the terrorist group's operations, but also counter its ideological appeal. "We are what we are out of necessity," says Singapore's Foreign Minister George Yeo. "[Islamic extremism] is a long-term problem, and it's not going to go away in our lifetime. The only way you can combat it is to have an immune system."

Singaporean officials said they decided to use Islamic clerics because they were convinced that only religious leaders could "de-program" the detainees. "Once you have taken an oath of God, it will take another man of God to undo it," a senior security official told me.

After meeting several detainees and studying Jemaah Islamiyah's religious ideology, the Islamic scholars were disturbed to see how their faith had been distorted to recruit terrorist foot soldiers. During more than a thousand weekly hour-long sessions, the scholars worked to build personal relationships with the detainees. Some counselors said the process of de-radicalizing an extremist was similar to the one-on-one relationship that often exists between a terrorist recruiter and recruit.

The main battles were over the Koran. Islamic radicals, especially members of Jemaah Islamiyah, many of whom are born-again Muslims who adopted their extreme faith late in life, often quote from it to justify their actions. That was where a scholar's grasp of Islam came in, and it wasn't always a pleasant exchange. "They believe they have the right to kill. This is what they believe from years of indoctrination," says Ustaz Feisal Hassan, one of the counselors.

As with the rehabilitation of any criminal, there's always the possibility of backsliding. Two graduates of Saudi Arabia's rehabilitation program have reportedly taken leadership positions within al-Qaeda in Yemen. For this reason, the RRG also counsels the detainee's family to ensure that wrong lessons are not passed on to the next generation and to help wives, sons and daughters assimilate into the mainstream. Many families receive financial support from the government, and detainees have jobs waiting for them when they are released.

Sidney Jones, a longtime advocate for human rights in Southeast Asia now at the International Crisis Group, calls this aspect of the Singapore program a "stroke of genius."

"In some places, like Poso [in Indonesia], I have heard it is the wives who urge their husbands not to work with the police and to keep their resolve," says Jones. And unlike in many other countries with terrorist rehabilitation programs, such as Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the detainees in Singapore are required to continue their counseling after their release.

Today, 40 former terrorists, or roughly two-thirds of the detainees Singapore has arrested since 2001, have been rehabilitated and released. None appear to have returned to their violent past. For Singaporean authorities, the best dividend may be the trust they have gained from the city-state's own Muslim citizens. "Singapore is the one place in the world I know where relations between the government and the Muslim community are better after 9/11," says Alami Musa, the president of the Islamic Religious Council of Singapore

Of course, the biggest question is how we can ever know if a radical is truly rehabilitated. A detainee in Singapore is not released until his case officer, a psychologist and the religious counselor signs off. Even then the decision goes to the prime minister's cabinet to give its approval. Political accountability rests at the top.

Members of the RRG have traveled to Iraq to brief U.S. military officers on their methods. At a meeting in Singapore earlier this year, Maj. Gen. Douglas Stone Jr., who used to run the U.S. military's detention system in Iraq, said that 15 percent of Iraqi militants would typically return to the fight once released. Since the U.S. military introduced its own rehabilitation program, inspired in part by Singapore's example, that figure has dropped to 1 to 2 percent.

As the Obama administration contemplates what to do with the detainees who remain in Guantanamo, perhaps they should consider talking with Ustaz Ibrahim Kassim. I have his business card.

Source: Washington Post
link to the article: The Best Guide for Gitmo? Look to Singapore.

Saturday, May 30, 2009

Swine Flu Update May 29, 2009.

In case you didn't know what is a swine flu.
"Swine Influenza (swine flu) is a respiratory disease of pigs caused by type A influenza virus that regularly causes outbreaks of influenza in pigs. Swine flu viruses cause high levels of illness and low death rates in pigs. Swine influenza viruses may circulate among swine throughout the year, but most outbreaks occur during the late fall and winter months similar to outbreaks in humans. The classical swine flu virus (an influenza type A H1N1 virus) was first isolated from a pig in 1930.

Novel influenza A (H1N1) is a new flu virus of swine origin that was first detected in April, 2009. The virus is infecting people and is spreading from person-to-person, sparking a growing outbreak of illness in the United States. An increasing number of cases are being reported internationally as well." CDC


53 countries have officially reported 15,510 cases of influenza A(H1N1) infection, including 99 deaths.

WHO Swine Flu Update May 29, 2009


U.S. Human Cases of H1N1 Flu Infection, as of May 29, 2009

What to Do About North Korea

By Dan Blumenthal and Robert Kagan, Washington Post.

The North Korean launch of its Taeopodong-2 missile and its second nuclear test have laid bare the paucity of President Obama's policy options. They have exposed the futility of the six-party talks and, in particular, the much-hyped myth of China's value as a partner on strategic matters. The Obama administration claims that it wants to break with the policies of its predecessor. This is one area where it ought to.

After decades of diplomacy and "probing" Pyongyang's intentions, one thing is clear: Kim Jong Il and his cronies want nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them. What will dissuade them? Isolation and more punitive sanctions would make sense if China and Russia would go along. But they haven't, and they won't.

We would support military action against North Korean missiles and missile sites, if we had prepared ourselves over the past few years to protect our allies against possible North Korean retaliation. Former defense secretary William J. Perry and current defense undersecretary Ashton B. Carter recommended this course of action in The Post a few years ago. But the supposedly bellicose Bush administration didn't take such action, and the odds of this administration doing so are even smaller.

For several years, this lack of attractive options has driven many to look to the Chinese for help. Advocates of warm engagement with the Chinese have been the most enthusiastic promoters of this approach, less, we suspect, out of concern for solving the North Korea problem than to prove the worth of close cooperation with Beijing. North Korea, they have tirelessly claimed, is one of those common strategic interests that the United States and Beijing allegedly share.

This proposition has been discredited. Sure, in theory China could pressure Kim to give up his weapons -- it has the power and influence. But the fact is, China doesn't want to. Beijing is content to live with a nuclear and anti-Western North Korea. While China fears a collapsed North that would flood its struggling Northeast with refugees, it also fears a unified, democratic, prosperous Korea allied with the United States. China wants a puppet state in North Korea, which is why, far from joining in sanctions, it steadily increases its economic investment there.

Given these realities, the United States probably has little choice but to wait out Kim until the emergence of a leader who can make the strategic decision to abandon the nuclear weapons program. In the meantime, Washington should embark on a three-pronged approach. First, it should enhance its deterrent to protect itself, South Korea and Japan. That means, above all, bolstering American and allied missile defenses and deterrent capabilities. Unfortunately, it is precisely American missile defense capabilities that the Obama administration is now cutting -- despite the growing missile threat from North Korea and Iran. Second, it should strengthen multilateral efforts to stem North Korean proliferation, including more active efforts at interdiction and freezing bank accounts used to fund proliferation. Third, it should give up on the six-party talks. If it ever proves useful to talk to Pyongyang -- a big "if" -- let's do so directly.

The ultimate American aim should be to help bring about a unified Korean Peninsula and not cede influence over the two Koreas to Beijing. The current diplomatic arrangements have permitted China to set the political agenda while quietly increasing its leverage over the North. But Washington doesn't need to go through Beijing to get to Pyongyang. Direct negotiations between the United States and North Korea, in close consultation with Japan and South Korea, are better than working through a middleman who has no desire or interest in closing the deal. Both Japan and South Korea would welcome greater U.S. engagement with the North. Seoul wants reassurance that it will not shoulder the burden of unification by itself. Japan wants U.S. protection and a guarantee that Washington will have some presence on the peninsula for the long term.

If we decide to talk again, American diplomacy should expand beyond nuclear talks to begin preparing for the outcome it wants: a democratic, unified and eventually nonnuclear Korea. As Korea expert Andrei Lankov has suggested, America's new approach could include the opening of cultural, educational and economic exchanges with the North. Western experts should be encouraged to teach at North Korean universities; North Koreans should be allowed to study in the West; and the United States, Japan and South Korea should undertake cooperative economic projects in the North. The United States should also open more radio and television broadcasts from South Korea and the West. In short, Washington's diplomacy with North Korea should focus on measures that raise North Koreans' standard of living and exposure to the West. This would keep our focus on long-term strategic objectives. And who knows? Maybe a new American approach to North Korea will provide an added benefit: If China sees its prominence diminished in North Korean diplomacy, maybe it will finally have some reason to act more forcefully in disarming Kim.

source:
Washington Post